Loading…
This page simulates three fixed ways of buying Branch licenses over a horizon you choose, so you can compare the tradeoffs. It is a what-if tool, not a forecast, and it never picks a winner.
Keep, selective and aggressive, simulated side by side over the same horizon. No strategy is picked as the winner.
30-day horizon · 1.000000 ETH budget
| Metric | KeepNever buys another license. | SelectiveBuys one license on a fixed interval, budget allowing. | AggressiveBuys up to the per-charter cap in each anchored 24-hour window, budget allowing. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Branches before → after | 1 → 1 | 1 → 4 | 1 → 4 |
| Licenses bought | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| ETH spent | 0.000000 | 0.919647 | 0.919838 |
| ETH recovered(at exit) | 0.084258 | 0.218972 | 0.336813 |
| Exit fees paid(STANDARD) | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 |
| Net ETH | 0.084258 | -0.700674 | -0.583024 |
| Versus keep | baseline | -0.784933 | -0.667283 |
| Break-even price(ETH per STANDARD) | 0.000000000000 | 0.000330900215 | 0.000215172859 |
What we assumed
What this leaves out
The same STANDARD each strategy would sell at the end of the horizon, priced as an S-Bill deposited then. Shown beside the sale; neither is ranked.
| Metric | Keep | Selective | Aggressive |
|---|---|---|---|
| Amount staked (STANDARD) | 1,113.635642 | 2,894.124890 | 4,451.608677 |
| Wallet cap with no existing stake (today) | Within cap | Within cap | Within cap |
| Rate for one term, today's quote | 3.55% per 15-day term | 3.55% per 15-day term | 3.55% per 15-day term |
| Premium, today's quote (STANDARD) | 39.542879 | 102.718616 | 157.935522 |
| Rate for one term at the end of the horizon | 7.00% per 15-day term | 6.99% per 15-day term | 6.99% per 15-day term |
| Premium at the end of the horizon (STANDARD) | 77.932795 | 202.442233 | 311.266070 |
| Exit fee if it left right after depositing (today) | 2.00% (estimate) | 2.00% (estimate) | 2.00% (estimate) |
| Value at the simulated price (ETH) | 0.087742 | 0.228025 | 0.350737 |
Assumption: the net STANDARD each strategy would sell at the end of the horizon is instead staked in one S-Bill at that moment, as the only deposit, with no change to the rate parameters; the rate at that time is projected from the contract's drift rule and price-impact curve
Values at the simulated price are the STANDARD amounts times that price, before sale tax, fee and slippage. The staked amount comes back one term after the deposit. Existing stake can reduce the wallet’s remaining headroom.